Today will be a transition day between the pleasant weather we've had and some stormy weather that will arrive on Saturday. An upper-level and surface low/trough will be moving across the Southern U.S. today and tomorrow. We will stay ahead of it today. That means you can expect a day with mostly cloudy skies along with a few isolated showers. It will still be warm with highs in the lower 80s.
A squall line of thunderstorms will form ahead of a cold front over Texas today. These storms will move east into Louisiana tonight. The latest forecast models show the line weakening as it get to LA overnight. We will be well ahead of the line here in New Orleans, so expect mostly cloudy skies with a few showers or storms tonight. Lows will be in the upper 60s.
The squall line looks to break up by the time it gets to New Orleans on Saturday Morning. However, we will have an unstable environment over us, so I am expecting scattered showers and storms to develop throughout the day. Some of these storms could be strong to severe. SPC has placed us in a Slight Risk for severe weather on Saturday. The main threat would be damaging winds, but a few tornadoes and hail are possible too. It will be a warm and humid day with highs in the lower 80s.
A cold front will stay just north of us on Saturday Night, but it will be close enough to sweep the storms away from us. We will be partly cloudy and mild with lows in the mid to upper 60s.
Sunday will be a pleasant day with plenty of sunshine. It will be unseasonably warm with highs in the lower 80s.
Another upper-level low will move through on Monday. This will set off isolated showers and thunderstorms over the region. Some of the storms could be strong. Highs will be in the 80s. Tuesday and Wednesday looks pretty dry with highs still in the 80s. A cold front looks to be headed our way on Thursday into Friday. Scattered showers and storms are expected, and some could be strong. I will keep a eye on this as we head into next week.
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