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Showing posts from October, 2012

Northeast U.S. Weather Update

The Nor' Easter is much weaker today, as expected, and it will continue to bring plenty of clouds, scattered showers, some snow and breezy conditions today through Thursday.  Then an upper-level low will meet up with the Nor' Easter and this will bring in some stronger winds from the northwest on Friday through the weekend.  This next system may hamper some of the storm clean up at the end of the week, and could make it hard for some of the power company's linesmen from getting the power lines up.
Expect power to still be out for days along the New Jersey and New York Coasts.  Looking at the photos and video coming out of New Jersey...just amazing damage especially along the coast.  Clean up will take weeks and months, and power is expected to be out at least another week, if not longer.  Some water still covers the roads, but as the winds turn to the northwest at the end of the week they will push the water back out to sea.

Stay safe and be patient.  Listen to the local …

Spook-tacular and Warmer Weather in Baton Rouge Today

Short Term Forecast:  We still have some chilly temperatures in the lower to mid 40s as we start this Halloween Wednesday under mostly clear skies.

Warmer temperatures are going to finally return to the CapitalCity today.  This is due to the winds shifting from the northwest to the west and south.  This will bring up some warm air from the Gulf of Mexico.  At the same time, a weak disturbance will move through in the upper-levels.  That will give us some high clouds which will make it mostly sunny.  High temperatures will be in the upper 70s.

It will not be as cold tonight thanks to the west to southwest winds.  Expect mostly clear skies with lows in the lower 50s.  Some areas in South Mississippi may still be in the upper 40s.

Trick or Treat Forecast:  Between 6 to 8 PM tonight we will have mostly clear skies and it will not be too cool.  Temperatures will fall to around 70 at 6 PM and then continue to fall to the lower 60s by 8 PM.  The kids may want to have a long-sleeve t-shir…

NE Winter Storm Afternoon Update

The Nor' Easter is now over Central Pennsylvania and will slowly track west toward Pittsburgh before it turns to the north and heads toward Erie then Buffalo.  Winds are sustained at 45 mph.


Light to moderate rain is expected across all of PA, NY, MD, DE, WV in the lower elevations.  Heavy snow is falling across the higher elevations of the Laurel Highlands and Appalachians.  Elkins, WV already has 12"+, Snowshoe 11"+, 3 miles SE of Morgantown 12", 7 Springs/Champion, PA has 13"+, the Laurel Summit has 6" and more is on the way.  Rain will mix with snow in the mountains of PA from State College, to St. Marys and DuBois today and tonight.  Only minor accumulations are expected there.  The storm is still VERY LARGE and stretches from IL to Canada to AL to the Atlantic Ocean!

Winds will still be strong across PA around 25-35 mph with higher gusts to around 50 mph.  This will still cause some trees and power lines to come down.  Sporadic power outages can be…

Sandy Updates By State from the AP

(AP) The massive storm that started out as Hurricane Sandy slammed into the East Coast and morphed into a huge and problematic system, putting more than 7.5 million homes and businesses in the dark and causing at least 18 deaths. Here's a snapshot of what is happening, state by state.

CAROLINAS
North Carolina Gov. Beverly Perdue expanded a state of emergency to western North Carolina, which could see a foot of snow. A woman who was pulled from the Atlantic after abandoning a tall ship died. Power outages: 6,600.

CONNECTICUT
The Long Island Sound flooded roads as the storm toppled trees and power lines Two people died, including an Easton firefighter who was killed when a tree fell on his truck. Power outages: more than 615,000.

DELAWARE
Nearly all residents of flood-prone coastal communities in Kent County heeded calls to evacuate. The Rehoboth Beach and Dewey Beach resort communities were flooded. Power outages: more than 45,000.

ILLINOIS
High wind warnings and a lakeshore flood war…

Tuesday Morning Post-Sandy Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone Sandy, or now a Nor' Easter, is moving well inland near Lancaster, PA.  Heavy rain and strong winds are still affecting much of the Northeast U.S.  This will continue throughout the day from PA, NY, MD, OH, DE, NJ, VA and WV.  Snows will continue to fly in WV, OH, PA, VA and even KY. A few feet could accumulate in the higher elevations!  Beckly, WV is reporting around 12 inches, Snowshoe Ski Resort has about 16 inches this morning.  Currently it is snowing at 1 to 2 inches per hour up there!!!  They will get a snow total of 1-3 FEET!  WOW!

Storm surge flooding continues across much of New York City where water has been reported in the Subway Tunnels and in many building basements.  Part of the 9 1 1 construction site has water in it too.  The NJ coast is still under water with all of Atlantic City under water as well as Ocean City, NJ.  Even Ocean City, MD has reported a lot of water on Highway 1.  I will post more updates on damage and flooding as I get more…

Sandy Has Finally Made Landfall

Post-tropical storm Sandy made landfall in Atlantic City, NJ at 8 pm EDT with 80 mph winds.  However, that doesn't mean it is over!  This storm has transitioned into a non-tropical system, or basically a Nor' Easter, and it is still huge!!  Everyone in the Northeast U.S. will still feel the effects of this Major Storm through tonight and into Tuesday.  

Please do not let your guard down as some of you have yet to see the worst of the storm!  Those along the coast, the storm surge is still coming in and that will continue into the night.  Those inland, conditions will continue to deteriorate all night, so get ready for that!

Stay safe and alert!

Sandy No Longer A Hurricane, But Still Dangerous

AS INDICATED IN THE 5 PM DISCUSSION...SATELLITE...RADAR...AND AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT SANDY HAS CONTINUED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. NHC IS NOW DESIGNATING SANDY AS A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN ADDITION...THE MAXIMUM WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY AND ARE NOW NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H.NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGES HAVE RECENTLY REPORTED STORM SURGE HEIGHTS OF 12.4 FEET AT KINGS POINT NEW YORK...AND 7.2 FEET AT THE BATTERY NEW YORK...AND 7.5 FEET AT SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY. TOTAL WATER LEVELS WILL BE EVEN HIGHER WHEN HIGH TIDE OCCURS.A WIND GUST TO 82 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT ISLIP NEW YORK. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN NEW YORK.

5 PM EDT Sandy Update

Sandy is losing it's Hurricane characteristics as it get absorbed into a much larger circulation, the Nor ' Easter.   The bigger one is what will bring in the high storm surgetonight.  Right now, Sandy is located about 40 miles south of Atlantic City, NJ.   Looking at the latest satellite and radar imagery, landfall will be over Cape May/Delaware Bay in an hour or so.  Winds are sustained at 90 mph, and the strongest winds will likely be in Cape May from what is left of Sandy's circulation.  Sandy is moving WNW at 28 mph. The pressure is still an impressive 940 mb. If Sandy makes landfall at that pressure, that would be a record for a land falling storm in the Northeast U.S.!  
Again, all preparations should be completed!  Watch for rapidly rising water along the NJ, NY, Delmarva, CT, RI and MA Coasts!  Winds will continue to increase both on the coast and inland during the next few hours and overnight. Expect 50-75 mph winds along the coast and 30-50 mph winds inland!  At …
Monday Afternoon video forecast...staying sunny & cool today here in Baton Rouge.  Plus I have an update on Hurricane Sandy.  Check it out:

Sandy is Even Stronger...Monday Afternoon UPDATE

WOW!  Hurricane Sandy's is even stronger as the pressure is now down to 940 mb with 90 mph sustained winds, and it is moving faster at 28 mph! Landfall is now expected in South New Jersey later this evening! That is now earlier due to the faster speed.  Be prepared!  Many coastal areas are already flooded and the worst of the storm surge has yet to come!!!
Things will continue to go downhill through tonight and into Tuesday.  Please watch for rising water and the winds are only going to get stronger.  Power outages are expected to be widespread along the coastal areas and inland too.  The worst will be along the coast, but inland areas are still going to get rocked!
Stay safe and aware!!  Look for more updates throughout the day.  -Dave

Late Monday Morning Sandy Update

11 AM EDT - Hurricane Sandy has gotten STRONGER!  It is located about 205 miles SE of Atlantic City, NJ.  Sustained winds are up to 90 mph and the pressure has fallen to an amazing 943 mb!!  Sandy is forecast to make landfall near Atlantic City, NJ tonight/early Tuesday Morning.
This is stronger than the 1938 Long Island Express Hurricane that was 946 mph.  What this means is that MORE water could pile up along the Jersey Shore and Long Island, NY.  I hope everyone who is reading this up north is prepared for the worst!!  This storm is going to be much worse than Hurricane Irene was last year. This storm is HUGE and the wind field is massive!  Don't focus on where it makes landfall.  Tropical storm force winds extend 485 miles upward from the center in all directions.  Hurricane force winds extend 175 miles upward from the center.  A 20 mile wide eye has now developed too.  Please take this storm VERY SERIOUSLY!  There will be a life-threatening storm surge to hurricane force wind…
Monday Morning video forecast...a cold start with sunny & cool weather today. A warm-up by Wednesday:

Monday Morning Sandy Update

Hurricane Sandy is actually STRONGER this morning! Winds have increased to 85 mph and it is possible that it could get even a little strong as it transitions from a hurricane to a winter-type storm later today.  Landfall is still expected to be tonight/Tuesday Morning along the South Jersey Shore.  However, this storm is so HUGE that areas from NC to MA will feel the effects.  The biggest concern will be the storm surge that will be from 4-8 feet from Delmarva to NYC.  Then from NYC Harbor to Long Island & Long Island Sound it will be around 6-11 feet. That will cause major coastal flooding well inland.

What to expect for the Coastal areas: Storm Surge of 4-8 feet from Delmarva to NJ, 6-11 feet from NYC Harbor, Long Island & Long Island Sound.  Keep an eye on all stream, creeks and rivers that drain into the Bays.  They could back up with surge, and when you add in the rainfall, they could easily flood even if you are well inland!  Winds of 50-75 mph with higher gusts. This wi…

Hurricane Sandy's Forecast Track

Statement from the NWS in Mt. Holly, NJ on Sandy

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ241 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012    ..AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA     SANDY IS EXPECTED TO SLAM INTO THE NEW JERSEY COAST LATER MONDAY   NIGHT, BRINGING VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS TO THE REGION.   THE STORM IS A LARGE ONE, THEREFORE DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT CENTER   OF THE STORM AS ALL AREAS WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.     THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE AN HISTORIC STORM, WITH WIDESPREAD WIND   DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES, INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING, AND MASSIVE   BEACH EROSION. THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND PROLONGED WIND   WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR LONG LASTING POWER OUTAGES AND SERIOUS   FLOODING.     PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPING UP AS CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO   WORSEN TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY.     SOME IMPORTANT NOTES...     1. IF YOU ARE BEING ASKED TO EVACUATE A COASTAL LOCATION BY STATE   AND LOCAL OFFICIALS, PLEASE DO SO.     2. IF YOU ARE RELUCTANT…

Sunday Evening Hurricane Sandy Update

Sandy is going to be a very large and possibly historic storm!!  Right now it is located about 485 miles SSE of NYC. The wind field is over 1000 miles in diameter! It is forecast to make a landfall in South New Jersey on Monday Night/Tuesday Morning. Before landfall it will transition from a hurricane to a winter-type storm. This DOES NOT mean it will be weaker.  Actually, it could be even stronger! Please listen too all local officials when they say to evacuate and be prepared for the worst!!!

What to expect along the Coast:  The biggest concern will be the storm surge. Along the Delmarva Peninsula through the Jersey Coast you can expect a storm surge of 4-8 feet. NYC Harbor and Long Island, NY could have a surge up to 10+ feet! If you live along the coast, and are prone to flooding you need to plan on leaving! If you flooded for Hurricane Irene last year, then you will have flooding again.  Here is a statement from the NWS about flooding along the coast.  Winds will be sustained aro…

Hurricane Sandy Update for family & friends up north

Please DO NOT take this storm lightly!! This is a VERY LARGE hurricane/winter-type storm. Right now the tropical storm force wind field is over 1000 miles in diameter! That is incredible! While it is still a hurricane with 75 mph sustained winds, please don't just focus on that. The biggest issue will be the storm surge and flooding! Sandy will make a landfall late Monday Night/Early Tuesday Morning now along the South New Jersey Shore as a hurricane/winter-type storm with at least 75 mph winds. Areas from the Delmarva Peninsula northward to Long Island, NY will all feel the effects of this storm.
What to expect for coastal areas...A storm surge of 1-2 feet is already affecting some of those areas NOW. I recommend evacuating INLAND if you live along the coast if you haven't already.  On top of the storm surge, heavy rain totaling 4-8 inches will be possible along with 50-75 mph winds. Please expect widespread power outages that will last for days thanks to the numerous trees…