Skip to main content

A Cold And Very Rainy Start To Thanksgiving Week

Short Term Forecast:  We start this Monday Morning with cloudy skies and a few showers are popping up around Baton Rouge.  Any rain will be light for the commute.  It is chilly with temperatures ranging from the upper 30s to lower 40s.  Be sure to take your umbrella and jacket with you today!


An area of low pressure is forming in the Western Gulf of Mexico and it will move toward far Southeast Louisiana.  This will send some scattered showers and a few thunderstorms over South Louisiana this afternoon along with cloudy skies.  We will not warm up much with high temperatures struggling to reach 50°.

Much more rain will arrive around the viewing area tonight and it will become heavy at times!  A few thunderstorms will also be possible.  It will be cold with lows in the lower 40s.

Week Ahead:  Even more heavy rain and a few t'storms are expected for the first part of Tuesday as the low goes from the Mouth of the Mississippi River toward Atlanta.  Between Monday and Tuesday we could pick up 1 to 3 inches of rain (see the image below).  Fortunately, all the rivers, streams and creeks are low, so flooding is not expected to be an issue.  However, areas that typically hold a lot of water could see some minor flooding.  Highs will only get to the upper 40s.


Tuesday Night will remain cloudy with some lingering showers as an upper-level low moves across Louisiana behind the surface low.  As this happens, the temperatures will really start to fall.  It is possible that areas in South Mississippi could see a few snowflakes mixed in with the rain as their temperatures will be around 32°.  As for Baton Rouge...we will stay above freezing, so it will just be a cold rain as our lows will be around 34°.

Wednesday will start out with a few clouds and then it will become sunny by the end of the morning.  An area of high pressure will build over the Southeast U.S. and that will keep us dry.  It will also keep us COLD with high temperatures in the upper 40s.  Expect VERY COLD temperatures on Wednesday Night with clear skies.  Lows will fall to the lower to mid 20s!!!  These could be record lows!!  A hard freeze is also expected.  Brrrr!  Bundle up!!!


Thanksgiving Day will be gorgeous with sunny skies and cool high temperatures in the lower 50s.  Thursday Night will be clear and cold again with lows in the upper 20s to around 30.  Be sure to bundle up as you head out for any early Black Friday deals!

Black Friday will start out with clear skies and very cold temperatures around 30.  You may want to look for a brand new warm coat while you shop!!  It will be a beautiful day with plenty of sunshine and high temperatures in the upper 50s.  Friday Night will be clear and chilly with lows in the mid 30s.

Weekend Outlook:  You can expect more pleasant weather all weekend, and it will become warmer.  Saturday will be sunny with highs in the mid 60s and lows in the lower 40s.

The area of high pressure will move east of Louisiana by Sunday, and this will allow for some more southerly winds to return.  We will be mostly sunny to partly cloudy with highs in the upper 60s and lows in the upper 40s.

Tropical Outlook:  All areas of the tropics remain quiet, and they will stay that way through Wednesday.

Bundle up, take your umbrella and have a great Monday! -Dave

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Comparison between Hurricane Matthew's possible forecast track loop vs Hurricane Betsy's

Some of you have been calling to say that Matthew's forecast to do a loop in the Atlantic Ocean off the SE U.S. is the same as what Hurricane Betsy did back in 1965. Well...that is not true. Betsy formed on August 27, 1965 just off the Leeward Islands. It quickly became a tropical storm on the same day, and then became a hurricane on August 29.  It made a few loops in its track with one north of Puerto Rico and a second north of the Bahamas.  There is a strong area of high pressure that was preventing Betsy from moving to the north, and that is what caused it to loop.  After the second loop, it then moved SW across the Bahamas, then turned west to move over far South Florida and then into the Gulf.  It eventually turned to the NW and quickly tracked right to New Orleans where it made landfall as a major hurricane on September 9th. Hurricane Matthew formed in the Atlantic east of the Leeward Islands as a tropical storm on September 28. It quickly moved west into t...

The Great Flood of 1983

It was 30 years ago that the Baton Rouge area experienced what is likely the worst flood in its history!  On April 5-9, 1983 we were hit with 6 to 13 inches of rain from a slow-moving storm.  This rain quickly ran off into the Amite, Comite, Tickfaw and Tangipahoa River Basins.  Some of the highest rainfall totals were in the headwaters of the Amite River in the Felicianas and South Mississippi.  Also, there were some strong easterly winds which slowed down the water from draining into Lake Maurepas and Pontchartrain.  These were some of the reasons why the flooding occurred in Baton Rouge & Denham Springs.  The weather map to the right shows the weather for April 8, 1983. A stalled front over the Southeast U.S. lead to the heavy rain event and flooding. The rivers quickly rose and spilled out of their banks.  The rain didn't stop, so the water continued to rise and rise.  Rivers rose to what are still the record levels.  The Amite in D...

The Unseasonably Cool Weather Continues

Short Term Forecast :  It is a very cold morning across the Capital City with clear skies and temperatures in the 30s.  A light freeze is expected!  I hope that you brought in your plants last night.  Take that jacket with you this morning. An area of high pressure remains over the Southeast U.S. today.  This will keep us sunny and with the northwest winds over us, we will stay cool.  High temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Another freeze is expected tonight for the Baton Rouge area.  We will be clear with calm winds and very good radiational cooling.  Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s.  The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor from 2 AM to 8 AM Wednesday Morning.  The freeze could last 2 to 6+ hours and that would be long enough to kill any vegetation.  Make sure you bring in your plants or at least cover them tonight!  Bundle ...