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The Heat and Storms Stick Around Today, Gabrielle Forms In The Caribbean

Short Term Forecast:  We have a very warm and muggy start to this Thursday across the Capital City.  It is mostly clear with temperatures in the 70s.

The cold front continues to be stalled north of Baton Rouge or over Central/Southern Mississippi.  This means we will have more of the same type of weather we've had for the last few days - partly cloudy, hot and humid with isolated thunderstorms.  Any storm could be strong with heavy rain, gusty winds and a lot of lightning.  High temperatures will be in the lower to mid 90s.  The heat index will be around 100+.

Some storms will linger into the evening before the dissipate by 10 PM tonight.  Then we will have a few leftover clouds with low temperatures in the lower 70s.

The front will finally dissipate on Friday.  This will help to decrease the chance of rain, but it will stay hot.  You can expect partly cloudy skies with stray showers and storms popping up with the heating of the day.  Highs will be in the mid 90s and lows in the lower 70s on Friday Night.

Weekend Forecast:  A ridge of high pressure will build across the Eastern U.S. this weekend.  That will limit the amount of rain we will get, but it will keep it hot.  Saturday will be partly cloudy with only spotty afternoon storms.  Highs will stay in the lower to mid 90s.  If you are headed to the LSU Football game get ready for it to be hot!  Saturday Night will be mostly clear and muggy with lows in the lower 70s.

Sunday will be similar to Saturday with partly cloudy skies and a few pop-up afternoon storms.  Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s.

Tropical Outlook:  TD #7 became Tropical Storm Gabrielle last night.  It is located near Puerto Rico with 40 mph winds, 1008 mb pressure & it is moving to the NW at 8 mph.  It will continue to track to the NW for the next 24 hours before it turns more to the north.  On this track it will skirt by Puerto Rico, track over Hispaniola and then move over the Turks and Caicos.  Gabrielle is only forecast to get slightly stronger at this time.  This storm will not have an impact on Louisiana.

There is a tropical wave over the Bay of Campeche, but it remains poorly organized.  It is moving to the west at 10 to 15 mph.  NHC is giving it a low chance of development over the next 2 to 5 days.

A surface trough of low pressure is located from the NE Leeward Islands into the Atlantic Ocean.  Since it is so close to Gabrielle it will likely be ripped apart.  NHC is giving it a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Lastly, there is a tropical wave coming off of Africa and some development is possible this weekend as it moves over water.  NHC is giving this system a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet.

Try to stay cool and dry today. Have a good day! -Dave


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