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A Cold Front Brings Us Plenty Of Rain And Storms This Weekend

Short Term Forecast:  It is a pretty warm and muggy morning across the Capital City with partly to mostly cloudy skies.  A few showers may move into town, but the bulk of the rain will arrive later today.  Temperatures are in the 70s.

A cold front will be moving into Northern Louisiana this afternoon.  Ahead of it we will have a warm and humid air mass.  The front will tap into that moisture and set off scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of it around Southeast Louisiana.  Some of the storms could have heavy rain associated with them.  Otherwise, when it is not raining we will have a mix of sun and clouds.  We will be as hot today thanks to the rain with high temperatures in the upper 80s.

We will be mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms into the evening.  Some of the high school football games will be soggy once again.  The clouds and rain will stick around overnight with low temperatures in the mid 70s.

Weekend Forecast:  I've made some significant changes to the forecast this weekend compared to what I had yesterday.  The cold front will move into Baton Rouge on Saturday, but not it looks like it will stall between I-10 and the Coast through early next week!  That means the rain will stick around for awhile!!!  Here is what I'm expecting for Saturday...mostly cloudy skies with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.  Heavy rain is likely!  We could pick up 2 to 4 inches of rain between Friday and next Monday!  See the image below.  This will not be good for tailgating or the game.  Better plan on it raining a lot!  Highs will only be in the mid 80s thanks to the rain.  Saturday Night will be mostly cloudy with more scattered showers and a few storms.  Lows will be in the upper 60s.

Now that the front is going to stall over the area, we will now see the showers and storms sticking around Baton Rouge all day on Sunday.  More heavy rain is possible.  Highs will be in the mid 80s.  Sunday Night will be mostly cloudy with a few showers.  Lows will be in the mid to upper 60s.

Football Forecast:  If you are headed to the LSU vs Auburn game on Saturday you better plan for rain.  We will have plenty of heavy rain and storms for tailgating as the cold front moves toward us.  The 6:45 PM kickoff will be mostly cloudy with scattered showers and temps. will be in the lower 80s.  Bring the poncho with you!!

Next Week Outlook:  The cold front will remain stalled along I-10 to the Louisiana Coast on Monday and Tuesday.  This will keep rain/storms in the forecast for a few more days verses high pressure drying us out.  Therefore, we will have partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and storms.  Highs will be in the upper 80s and lows in the upper 60s.

We will start to dry out on Wednesday through Friday as a ridge of high pressure finally pushes the front south of us and dissipates it.  However, we will not be totally dry.  Each day will be partly cloudy with isolated afternoon storms popping up.  Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s.

Tropical Outlook:  Invest 95L in the Southern Gulf of Mexico, or Bay of Campeche is not looking very impressive today.  There are limited showers and storms popping up.  Upper-level winds are preventing it from developing and they will stay a little strong the next few days.  This means the chance of it becoming a tropical cyclone has gone down according to the NHC.  They are only giving it a medium chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.  Hurricane Hunters may investigate the system later today, if necessary.  The forecast models show it moving to the NW toward the Upper Mexican Coast/South Texas Coast.  However, a few show it moving a little more to the north, but just as a low, not a tropical system.  Needless to say, I will be watching it!

There is also a trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of Bermuda.  Upper-level winds are not favorable for development as it moves to the northeast.  NHC is giving it a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Try to stay dry and have a great weekend! -Dave


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