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The Heat Continues With Another Heat Advisory And A Few Storms Today

...Heat Advisory Until 7 PM...

Short Term Forecast:  Once again it is a very warm and muggy morning across Southeast Louisiana.  We have some clouds with temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.

The ridge of high pressure that has been sitting over us the last few days will start to break down and moves to the west today.  This will allow for some extra Gulf Moisture to stream up over Louisiana.  That will help us to get a slightly better chance of seeing some rain today.  I'm only expecting a few storms (20% chance) at best, but that is better than we've had all week.  Therefore, we will be partly cloudy and very hot with those isolated storms.  High temperatures will remain in the mid 90s.  The heat index will be around 105°.  The NWS will continue the Heat Advisory until 7 PM today due to the oppressive heat and only a few storms.

Any rain that pops-up will dissipate by 10 PM and then we will be left with partly cloudy skies overnight.  Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70s.

The weather will really start to change on Friday.  An upper-level low will move across Florida and into the Northern Gulf of Mexico.  This low will track west toward Louisiana, and it will send some deep tropical moisture over us.  That will allow for scattered showers and thunderstorms to form over Baton Rouge during the day.  Some of the rain could be heavy at times.  High temperatures will still make it into the mid 90s before the rain starts.  Friday Night will be mostly cloudy with a few lingering showers.  Lows will fall to the mid 70s.

Weekend Outlook:  The upper-level low will continue to move to the west this weekend.  We will be on the backside of it, so it will still bring the tropical moisture over Baton Rouge.  Saturday and Sunday will have partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon/evening hours.  Highs will be in the lower to mid 90s and lows in the lower to mid 70s.

Tropical Outlook:  A weak area of low pressure is producing a small area of clouds and showers over the SE Caribbean Sea.  Conditions are not favorable for development as the low moves to the west at 10 to 15 mph.  NHC is giving this a low chance for development.

I'm also tracking the upper-level low/tropical wave that will move across Florida today.  It is not expected to develop into anything at this time.

Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet and will stay that way through Friday.

Once again be sure to try and stay cool.  Have a great day! -Dave


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