Short Term Forecast: The cold front has moved south of Baton Rouge this morning. We have partly to mostly cloudy skies with temperatures ranging from the upper 60s to lower 70s.
The cold front will stall along the Louisiana Coast this afternoon. It will be close enough to help set off a few showers and storms in Baton Rouge with partly cloudy skies. Some drier air will start to move into town today and that will help to make it feel a little less humid. High temperatures will be back around 90.
Expect some mostly clear skies tonight and it will turn a little cooler! Lows will fall to the upper 60s, and that will feel pretty refreshing.
The front remains stationary along the Coast and a trough of low pressure sinks into the Southeast U.S. This will give us more dry air on Friday and that will make for a pretty nice day. We will be partly cloudy with only a slight chance of a shower. Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the upper 60s.
Weekend Forecast: I'll be watching the low in the Gulf of Mexico to see how it evolves. Right now, the forecast models are all over the place, so we are still in a wait and see mode. The weather patten shows the trough remaining over the Southeast U.S., and that will help to keep the nice weather over Baton Rouge. We will be partly cloudy with only spotty afternoon storms popping up. Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s.
We will start to become more humid on Sunday with the trough starting to move to the east and the stationary front still draped across the Northern Gulf of Mexico. We will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and storms developing during the afternoon. Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s.
*NOTE...if a tropical system forms in the Gulf of Mexico that will change the forecast for this weekend!
Tropical Outlook: I'm still closely watching the tropical disturbance, Invest 92L, in the Northwest Caribbean. It is slowly moving closer to the Yucatan Peninsula and will eventually move over it later tonight/tonight. There is a chance the system could become a tropical depression before it moves over land. It will emerge in the Southern Gulf of Mexico on Friday, and then there are all sorts of scenarios that are possible. Upper-level winds are forecast to be a little stronger over the Gulf and that could prevent the system from getting very organized.
The forecast models are all over the place with the evolution of this system. One set has it moving north toward LA/MS/AL, and the others have it going into Old Mexico. The trough of low pressure over the Eastern U.S. and stationary front sitting along the Northern Gulf of Mexico will have an impact on what this system will do. The trough will help to keep some decent wind shear over the Gulf. If the disturbance can linger over the warm Gulf Waters, and survive some wind shear, then there is a chance it could develop into something. There is a high chance, according to the NHC, that this system will become a tropical system in the next 5 days. Either way, deep tropical moisture will still stream northward toward the Gulf Coast States and that will spread heavy rain from SE Louisiana to Florida.
Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate this system today, so we will find out later what they find. Needless to say, this is a wait and see mode as to what it will do.
Last Night, Invest 93L became Tropical Depression #5 way out in the Atlantic, and now is has strengthened into Tropical Storm Erin. It is located 65 miles WSW of Brava in the Cape Verde Islands. Winds are at 40 mph and the pressure is 1007 mb. It is moving to the WNW at 16 mph. This system is forecast to stay a tropical storm over the next 5 days as it moves out into the open Atlantic Ocean.
Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet.
Enjoy the sunshine & slightly lower humidity today. Have a good day! -Dave
The cold front will stall along the Louisiana Coast this afternoon. It will be close enough to help set off a few showers and storms in Baton Rouge with partly cloudy skies. Some drier air will start to move into town today and that will help to make it feel a little less humid. High temperatures will be back around 90.
Expect some mostly clear skies tonight and it will turn a little cooler! Lows will fall to the upper 60s, and that will feel pretty refreshing.
The front remains stationary along the Coast and a trough of low pressure sinks into the Southeast U.S. This will give us more dry air on Friday and that will make for a pretty nice day. We will be partly cloudy with only a slight chance of a shower. Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the upper 60s.
Weekend Forecast: I'll be watching the low in the Gulf of Mexico to see how it evolves. Right now, the forecast models are all over the place, so we are still in a wait and see mode. The weather patten shows the trough remaining over the Southeast U.S., and that will help to keep the nice weather over Baton Rouge. We will be partly cloudy with only spotty afternoon storms popping up. Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s.
We will start to become more humid on Sunday with the trough starting to move to the east and the stationary front still draped across the Northern Gulf of Mexico. We will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and storms developing during the afternoon. Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s.
*NOTE...if a tropical system forms in the Gulf of Mexico that will change the forecast for this weekend!
Tropical Outlook: I'm still closely watching the tropical disturbance, Invest 92L, in the Northwest Caribbean. It is slowly moving closer to the Yucatan Peninsula and will eventually move over it later tonight/tonight. There is a chance the system could become a tropical depression before it moves over land. It will emerge in the Southern Gulf of Mexico on Friday, and then there are all sorts of scenarios that are possible. Upper-level winds are forecast to be a little stronger over the Gulf and that could prevent the system from getting very organized.
The forecast models are all over the place with the evolution of this system. One set has it moving north toward LA/MS/AL, and the others have it going into Old Mexico. The trough of low pressure over the Eastern U.S. and stationary front sitting along the Northern Gulf of Mexico will have an impact on what this system will do. The trough will help to keep some decent wind shear over the Gulf. If the disturbance can linger over the warm Gulf Waters, and survive some wind shear, then there is a chance it could develop into something. There is a high chance, according to the NHC, that this system will become a tropical system in the next 5 days. Either way, deep tropical moisture will still stream northward toward the Gulf Coast States and that will spread heavy rain from SE Louisiana to Florida.
Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate this system today, so we will find out later what they find. Needless to say, this is a wait and see mode as to what it will do.
Last Night, Invest 93L became Tropical Depression #5 way out in the Atlantic, and now is has strengthened into Tropical Storm Erin. It is located 65 miles WSW of Brava in the Cape Verde Islands. Winds are at 40 mph and the pressure is 1007 mb. It is moving to the WNW at 16 mph. This system is forecast to stay a tropical storm over the next 5 days as it moves out into the open Atlantic Ocean.
Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet.
Enjoy the sunshine & slightly lower humidity today. Have a good day! -Dave
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