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Staying Hot With Spotty Storms Today

Short Term Forecast:  We have a partly to mostly cloudy morning across the Baton Rouge area with temperatures in the 70s.  Some coastal showers have developed as well.

You can expect another very hot and humid day with only spotty storms this afternoon.  This is all thanks to the northwest winds aloft keeping it pretty dry up there.  We will be partly cloudy to a mix of clouds and sun just like we were the last few days.  With the intense heat I can't rule out seeing a few storms popping up later this afternoon and into the evening hours.  High temperatures will be in the mid 90s with the heat index around 105° at times.

Any storms we get today will dissipate by 10 PM and then we will be left with partly cloudy skies.  It will be warm and muggy with lows in the mid 70s.

Friday will be very similar to today since the weather pattern will not be much different.  I will be watching for any thunderstorm complexes to form in the Great Plains states today to see if they will bring us any rain on Friday.  Otherwise, we will be partly cloudy with only spotty storms Friday Afternoon.  Highs will be in the mid 90s with the heat index still around 105°.  Friday Night will be mostly cloudy with a few showers possible overnight.  Lows will be in the mid 70s.

Weekend Outlook:  The forecast models are now showing a better chance of rain on Saturday.  This is due to a disturbance, or short wave, moving along a stalled cold front located just north of Louisiana.  This disturbance is forecast to bring us showers and storms starting on Saturday Morning.  Then they will be scattered through the afternoon with mostly cloudy skies.  Highs will be in the lower 90s.  A few showers will be possible on Saturday Night with lows in the lower 70s.

The cold front will stay stalled just north of Baton Rouge on Sunday.  This will be close enough for it to help set off scattered showers and storms over the area.  Highs will be in the lower 90s and and lows in the lower 70s on Sunday Night.

Tropical Outlook:  Tropical Storm Dorian is a little better organized today and a little stronger too.  It is located about 700 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands.  Winds are up to 60 mph and the pressure is down to 999 mb.  It is moving to the WNW at 17 mph and it will gradually take a turn to the west in the next few days.  Dorian is forecast to maintain its intensity through the weekend as it moves over some slightly cooler waters and pass through some drier air.  Early next week, it will interact with an upper-level low which should pull Dorian WNW then North, and the storm could get a little stronger by then.  I will keep an eye on it for you!

I'm also watching a weak surface low located about 370 miles east of Bermuda.  It is associated with an upper-level low.  Upper-level winds are forecast to be a little favorable for development before the low reaches some cooler waters in the next day or so.  NHC is giving this system a low chance for development as it moves to the NW then N at 15 mph.

Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet.

Try to keep cool again and have a nice day! -Dave


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