Skip to main content

More Heat With Spotty Storms Today

Short Term Forecast:  Once again it is a very warm and muggy morning with mostly cloudy skies across the Capital City.  A few showers are possible as some rain is moving toward Baton Rouge from the north.  A lot of the rain is dissipating as it heads toward us.  Temperatures are in the mid to upper 70s.

We will have another scorcher this afternoon as an area of high pressure sits over the Central Gulf of Mexico and another area of high pressure sits over the Rocky Mountain States.  This is bringing in northwest winds aloft and that limits the amount of storms that will pop-up in the afternoon hours.  However, it also means that any storms that develop over the Great Plains states will dive to the southeast toward Louisiana.  I am watching a few thunderstorms complexes over the Plains States, and the forecast models are hinting that they could survive all the way to Baton Rouge.  If this happens we will see some storms by this evening.  Otherwise, it will be partly cloudy, hot and very humid with highs in the mid 90s.  The heat index will be 105° or greater today!  Be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks if you will be outside!!

Some storms are possible this evening with partly to mostly cloudy skies.  Then we will have partly cloudy skies overnight with lows in the mid 70s.

Rest of the Week:  Thursday and Friday will continue to be hot and humid with isolated t'storms possible each day.  Highs will be in the mid 90s with the heat index 105° or greater.  Lows will be in the mid 70s each night with some lingering clouds.

Weekend Outlook:  A cold front will be sagging south toward I-10 this weekend.  It will likely stall and fall apart before it ever gets to Baton Rouge.  However, it will be close enough to help set off isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday.  High temperatures will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s each day and night.

Tropical Outlook:  Invest 98L has become Tropical Depression #4 this morning.  It is still located WAY out in the Atlantic, or about 310 miles WSW of the Cape Verde Islands.  Winds are sustained at 35 mph, and it could strengthen into a tropical storm later today.  It would get the name Dorian.  The forecast track takes TD 4 across the open Atlantic where it will encounter some wind shear and drier air in a few days.  This system is not expected to be more than a minimal tropical storm.

Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet and tropical cyclone formation is not expected anywhere else through Thursday.

Stay cool again and have a nice day! -Dave


Popular posts from this blog

The Unseasonably Cool Weather Continues

Short Term Forecast:  It is a very cold morning across the Capital City with clear skies and temperatures in the 30s.  A light freeze is expected!  I hope that you brought in your plants last night.  Take that jacket with you this morning.

An area of high pressure remains over the Southeast U.S. today.  This will keep us sunny and with the northwest winds over us, we will stay cool.  High temperatures will be in the upper 50s.

Another freeze is expected tonight for the Baton Rouge area.  We will be clear with calm winds and very good radiational cooling.  Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s.  The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor from 2 AM to 8 AM Wednesday Morning.  The freeze could last 2 to 6+ hours and that would be long enough to kill any vegetation.  Make sure you bring in your plants or at least cover them tonight!  Bundle up!

Week Ahead:  The area of high pressure will stay put through Wednesday. …

Major Snowstorm Headed To Northeast US Tomorrow

For all of my friends and family that live in the Northeast is my latest analysis of the winter storm heading your way on Friday into Saturday:

The same area of low pressure that brought the heavy rain and thunderstorms to Louisiana last night and this morning will be moving up the East Coast on Friday.  It will get much stronger and become a  Nor' Easter that will impact all the major cities from Philly to NYC to Boston as well as inland areas.

Delmarva to NJ Coastal Areas:  Winter Storm Warning in effect from Friday AM until Saturday AM!  It looks like it will start out as a brief period of snow along the coast in the morning then change into a windy rain during the day.  Then go to a heavy snow late Friday into Saturday Morning.  Snow accumulations of 4-8" are possible.  Some minor ice accumulations are possible too. Winds will be sustained around 30+ mph and coastal erosion will be possible too.

NE PA: Winter Storm Warning from 10 am Friday until 7 am Saturday! …

Deadliest and Strongest Tornadoes In Louisiana History

If you are wondering what is the deadliest tornado ever to hit in the Baton Rouge was back on April 24, 1908 in Amite, LA to Purvis, MS.  (Grazulis, Thomas P. (1993). Significant Tornadoes 1680-1991: A Chronology and Analysis of Events. Environmental Films)  143 people lost their lives.  This was part of the 1908 Dixie Tornado Outbreak.  The storm started around 11:45 AM near Weiss, LA in Livingston Parish and tracked toward St. Helena Parish.  2 people were killed in Denham Springs and 2 in Montpelier.   Then it tracked toward Amite, LA where a path of damage was around 2 miles wide.  29 people were killed there.  It then traveled on the ground to Purvis, MS where the greatest damage was and most of the lives were lost.  The damage path was around 155 miles long.  

The F-Scale and  EF-Scale didn't exist then, so it was not given a rating at the time.  However, using recent technology and assessments, the storm would have been given an F-4 or EF-4 rating.  
This tornado wa…