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A Much Better Chance of Showers and Storms Return Today

Short Term Forecast:  We have another very warm and muggy start to the day with temperatures in the mid 70s under partly cloudy skies.

Better take your umbrella with you this afternoon since we will have a better chance of rain and storms.  This is due to a weak cold front moving into Louisiana from the north and a disturbance moving in from Texas.  Those systems will tap into the very warm and humid air mass over Baton Rouge, and this will set off scattered to almost numerous showers and thunderstorms today.  A few storms could be strong with gusty winds, heavy rain and a lot of lightning.  We will still be hot before the storms develop with high temperatures in the lower 90s.

Some showers and a few thunderstorms will continue tonight as the cold front slowly moves into Baton Rouge.  Otherwise, it will be partly to mostly cloudy with lows in the lower 70s.

Week Ahead:  The cold front will stall and start to dissipate over Baton Rouge on Wednesday along with another disturbance moving in from the west.  This will give us another day of scattered showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain.  Highs will only be in the lower 90s, and some of you may not even get that hot.  Wednesday Night will have partly cloudy skies with lows in the lower 70s.

Some drier air arrive on Thursday and Friday.  This will limit the amount of rain and storms we will see to only a pop-up variety during the afternoon hours.  It will be hotter since we will have more sunshine with highs in the lower to mid 90s.  Each night will have some clouds with lows in the lower 70s.

Weekend Outlook:  It looks like we will see a slight increase in the chance for rain this weekend.  A weak disturbance aloft will move over the Deep South and that will help to set off additional showers and storms on Saturday and Sunday.  We will not have a washout, but plan for afternoon storms.  It will stay hot and humid with highs in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s.

Tropical Outlook:  Tropical Depression #2 formed yesterday in the NW Caribbean.  It has moved inland over Belize and Guatemala with 30 mph winds.  It is moving WNW at 8 mph and will continue to track inland today.  It looks like it could emerge in the Bay of Campeche on Wednesday.  There is a chance it could try to redevelop, but it depends on just how long it sits over the water.  At this time the NHC is keeping it a tropical depression before it makes a second landfall in Mexico late this week.

Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet.

Be sure to have your umbrella with you and have a great day! -Dave


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