Cooler Today With Strong Storms Possible Tuesday Night

A cold front will move across the area this morning and it will bring us cooler temperatures today. We will have a mix of sun and clouds today with highs in the upper 60s to around 70°. Tonight will be much colder with partly cloudy skies. Lows will be in the upper 40s north and mid 50s south of the lake.

The weather will quickly start to change on Tuesday and there is a chance for strong to severe storms Late Tuesday Evening into Early Wednesday Morning. We will have more southerly winds return during the day, and they will help to warm us back up. At the same time, an area of low pressure will develop over Eastern Texas. This low will head NE toward Louisiana. A warm front will move up from the SW over us, and this will be the reason for the warmer air. It will be more humid too, and that will allow the atmosphere to become unstable. It will be mostly cloudy with just a slight chance for a shower during the day. Highs will be in the mid 70s.

The low and cold front will move into New Orleans late on Tuesday Evening into early on Wednesday Morning. Showers and thunderstorms will form head of the cold front between 9 PM and 3 AM. Some of these storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds and a few tornadoes possible. SPC has put us in a Slight Risk for severe weather during the time. There is still a question as to how unstable we will be, and that will make a difference in how many storms are strong or severe. We will have to wait to see how the day evolves tomorrow to answer that. Right now, plan for some stormy weather if you are headed out to dinner for Valentine's Day. The cold front is forecast to move through around 2-3 AM Wednesday Morning, so any storm threat would end by then. Overnight, it will be mostly cloudy with lows in the 50s.

Wednesday will be a mostly cloudy day with lingering light showers as the low moves to the northeast. It will be cooler with highs in the lower 60s. Wednesday Night will become clear and much colder with lows in the 30s north with some frost, and 40s south.

High pressure will build over us on Thursday and Friday. Each day will see plenty of sunshine with cool highs in the upper 50s on Thursday, but we'll climb back into the upper 60s on Friday.

For the latest marine forecast, click here.

Comments

Comparison between Hurricane Matthew's possible forecast track loop vs Hurricane Betsy's

Some of you have been calling to say that Matthew's forecast to do a loop in the Atlantic Ocean off the SE U.S. is the same as what Hurricane Betsy did back in 1965. Well...that is not true. Betsy formed on August 27, 1965 just off the Leeward Islands. It quickly became a tropical storm on the same day, and then became a hurricane on August 29. It made a few loops in its track with one north of Puerto Rico and a second north of the Bahamas. There is a strong area of high pressure that was preventing Betsy from moving to the north, and that is what caused it to loop. After the second loop, it then moved SW across the Bahamas, then turned west to move over far South Florida and then into the Gulf. It eventually turned to the NW and quickly tracked right to New Orleans where it made landfall as a major hurricane on September 9th. Hurricane Matthew formed in the Atlantic east of the Leeward Islands as a tropical storm on September 28. It quickly moved west into t...

The Unseasonably Cool Weather Continues

Short Term Forecast : It is a very cold morning across the Capital City with clear skies and temperatures in the 30s. A light freeze is expected! I hope that you brought in your plants last night. Take that jacket with you this morning. An area of high pressure remains over the Southeast U.S. today. This will keep us sunny and with the northwest winds over us, we will stay cool. High temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Another freeze is expected tonight for the Baton Rouge area. We will be clear with calm winds and very good radiational cooling. Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s. The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor from 2 AM to 8 AM Wednesday Morning. The freeze could last 2 to 6+ hours and that would be long enough to kill any vegetation. Make sure you bring in your plants or at least cover them tonight! Bundle ...

Flash Flood Watch now until Thursday Evening for WBRZ Viewing Area

The NWS in Slidell, LA has issued a Flash Flood Watch for all of the WBRZ Viewing Area starting now and continuing until Thursday Evening. Rain has been falling for the last few hours and we have already picked up over 1.30" in Baton Rouge. This is WAY more than the forecast models were predicting for this time. The area of low pressure continues to develop over South Texas and a warm front will move up from the Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday Morning. This will spread widespread rain and a few thunderstorms over Southern Louisiana all night and into Wednesday. Then it looks like we will taper off the rain to just scattered showers during the day on Wednesday. On Wednesday Night, a cold front will move out of Texas into Louisiana. As this happens, a squall line of thunderstorms is expected to move ahead of it and through Baton Rouge on Thursday Morning. Some of these storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds and a few tornadoes. ...

Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum's Weather Blog

Search This Blog