Short Term Forecast: It is a very warm and humid start to this Tuesday across the Capital City with temperatures in the 70s. We have mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and a few showers could pop-up before the morning ends.
A cold front will slowly move southward toward Baton Rouge during this afternoon. This will help set off isolated showers and storms over us today. Some of the storms could be strong with heavy rain and gusty winds. Otherwise, we will have a mix of sun and clouds when it is not raining. It will still be hot and humid with high temperatures in the lower 90s.
The bulk of the rain will dissipate by tonight, but since the front is going to be around Baton Rouge, a few spotty showers are possible overnight. Low temperatures will be in the mid 70s.
Week Ahead: The front will stall along the I-10 corridor on Wednesday through Friday. This means we will keep rain in the forecast for a few days, and we could really use some rain too. Each day will be partly to mostly cloudy with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s with some clouds each night.
Weekend Outlook: The cold front will finally dissipate by the weekend, and we will return to a more typical weather pattern. That means it will be partly cloudy with spotty showers and storms popping up in the afternoon heat. High temperatures will be in the lower 90s and low temperatures will be in the lower 70s. Overall, it will not be a bad weekend!
Tropical Outlook: There is a tropical wave located over the Yucatan Peninsula. It will move into the Bay of Campeche later today. Conditions are favorable for some develop over the next few days as it moves over the warm waters. NHC is giving it a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, but a medium chance of becoming one during the next 5 days. The forecast models are also hinting as some development, but it looks like they take it straight into Mexico.
There is an elongated area of low pressure (Invest 97L) stretching from the Eastern Caribbean into the Atlantic Ocean. It remains disorganized thanks to some dry air being ingested into the system. However, conditions appear favorable for development once it moves the Caribbean near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. NHC is giving this disturbance a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, but a medium chance during the next 5 days. The forecast model plots show this system moving right over Hispaniola and Cuba and then turning it north off the East Coast of Florida.
Lastly, there is another tropical wave associated with an area of low pressure (Invest 98L) near the West Coast of Africa. Conditions appear favorable for some development over the next few days as it moves to the WNW to NW at 10 to 15 mph. NHC is giving it a low chance for of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days.
Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet.
Take your umbrella with you and have a nice day! -Dave
A cold front will slowly move southward toward Baton Rouge during this afternoon. This will help set off isolated showers and storms over us today. Some of the storms could be strong with heavy rain and gusty winds. Otherwise, we will have a mix of sun and clouds when it is not raining. It will still be hot and humid with high temperatures in the lower 90s.
The bulk of the rain will dissipate by tonight, but since the front is going to be around Baton Rouge, a few spotty showers are possible overnight. Low temperatures will be in the mid 70s.
Week Ahead: The front will stall along the I-10 corridor on Wednesday through Friday. This means we will keep rain in the forecast for a few days, and we could really use some rain too. Each day will be partly to mostly cloudy with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s with some clouds each night.
Weekend Outlook: The cold front will finally dissipate by the weekend, and we will return to a more typical weather pattern. That means it will be partly cloudy with spotty showers and storms popping up in the afternoon heat. High temperatures will be in the lower 90s and low temperatures will be in the lower 70s. Overall, it will not be a bad weekend!
Tropical Outlook: There is a tropical wave located over the Yucatan Peninsula. It will move into the Bay of Campeche later today. Conditions are favorable for some develop over the next few days as it moves over the warm waters. NHC is giving it a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, but a medium chance of becoming one during the next 5 days. The forecast models are also hinting as some development, but it looks like they take it straight into Mexico.
There is an elongated area of low pressure (Invest 97L) stretching from the Eastern Caribbean into the Atlantic Ocean. It remains disorganized thanks to some dry air being ingested into the system. However, conditions appear favorable for development once it moves the Caribbean near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. NHC is giving this disturbance a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, but a medium chance during the next 5 days. The forecast model plots show this system moving right over Hispaniola and Cuba and then turning it north off the East Coast of Florida.
Lastly, there is another tropical wave associated with an area of low pressure (Invest 98L) near the West Coast of Africa. Conditions appear favorable for some development over the next few days as it moves to the WNW to NW at 10 to 15 mph. NHC is giving it a low chance for of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days.
Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet.
Take your umbrella with you and have a nice day! -Dave
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