Hot With Little To No Rain This Weekend

Short Term Forecast: It is a pretty quiet Friday Morning across the Capital City area. We have some clouds and muggy temperatures in the 70s.

Get ready for a very hot afternoon with little to no rain. A ridge of high pressure will be sitting over the Southeast U.S. back to Texas. This will help to limit the amount of storms that will pop-up and make it hot! We will be partly cloudy with only a few storms possible. High temperatures will be in the mid 90s. The heat index will be 100° to 105°. Please stay hydrated and take frequent breaks if you will be working outside for a long period of time today.

Some clouds will stick around tonight with muggy low temperatures falling to the mid 70s.

Weekend Forecast: The ridge of high pressure will stay over us on Saturday, so our weather will be just like Friday. We will be partly cloudy with only spotty storms possible. Highs will be in the mid 90s with the heat index over 100°. Saturday Night will be partly cloudy with lows in the mid 70s.

The ridge will break down a little on Sunday and it will move to the west of Louisiana. This will allow us to get a few more storms popping up. Therefore, we will be partly cloudy with stray showers and storms. Highs will stay in the mid 90s and lows in the mid 70s.

Next Week Outlook: The ridge will continue to move to the west on Monday through Wednesday. This will allow for disturbances, or short waves, to move over Louisiana each day. That means the chance for rain will go up! Each day will be partly cloudy with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows will be in the mid 70s.

Thursday and Friday will still have some storms popping up over Baton Rouge, but there will not be as many. Each day will be partly cloudy with only isolated storms. High temperatures will climb into the mid 90s and lows in the mid 70s.

Tropical Outlook: The remnants of Dorian just will not go away. They are part of a nearly stationary trough of low pressure located midway between Southeastern Florida and the Bahamas. Some of the thunderstorms are showing signs of organization on the radar and satellite images. Gradual development of this system is possible before upper-level winds become unfavorable development this weekend. NHC is giving this system a medium chance for development during then next 5 days. It will be tracking toward SE Florida this weekend as it moves to the NNE and eventually becomes associated with a front.

Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet and tropical cyclone formation is not expected through the weekend.

Be sure to stay cool and have a great weekend!

Comments

Comparison between Hurricane Matthew's possible forecast track loop vs Hurricane Betsy's

Some of you have been calling to say that Matthew's forecast to do a loop in the Atlantic Ocean off the SE U.S. is the same as what Hurricane Betsy did back in 1965. Well...that is not true. Betsy formed on August 27, 1965 just off the Leeward Islands. It quickly became a tropical storm on the same day, and then became a hurricane on August 29. It made a few loops in its track with one north of Puerto Rico and a second north of the Bahamas. There is a strong area of high pressure that was preventing Betsy from moving to the north, and that is what caused it to loop. After the second loop, it then moved SW across the Bahamas, then turned west to move over far South Florida and then into the Gulf. It eventually turned to the NW and quickly tracked right to New Orleans where it made landfall as a major hurricane on September 9th. Hurricane Matthew formed in the Atlantic east of the Leeward Islands as a tropical storm on September 28. It quickly moved west into t...

The Great Flood of 1983

It was 30 years ago that the Baton Rouge area experienced what is likely the worst flood in its history! On April 5-9, 1983 we were hit with 6 to 13 inches of rain from a slow-moving storm. This rain quickly ran off into the Amite, Comite, Tickfaw and Tangipahoa River Basins. Some of the highest rainfall totals were in the headwaters of the Amite River in the Felicianas and South Mississippi. Also, there were some strong easterly winds which slowed down the water from draining into Lake Maurepas and Pontchartrain. These were some of the reasons why the flooding occurred in Baton Rouge & Denham Springs. The weather map to the right shows the weather for April 8, 1983. A stalled front over the Southeast U.S. lead to the heavy rain event and flooding. The rivers quickly rose and spilled out of their banks. The rain didn't stop, so the water continued to rise and rise. Rivers rose to what are still the record levels. The Amite in D...

The Unseasonably Cool Weather Continues

Short Term Forecast : It is a very cold morning across the Capital City with clear skies and temperatures in the 30s. A light freeze is expected! I hope that you brought in your plants last night. Take that jacket with you this morning. An area of high pressure remains over the Southeast U.S. today. This will keep us sunny and with the northwest winds over us, we will stay cool. High temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Another freeze is expected tonight for the Baton Rouge area. We will be clear with calm winds and very good radiational cooling. Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s. The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor from 2 AM to 8 AM Wednesday Morning. The freeze could last 2 to 6+ hours and that would be long enough to kill any vegetation. Make sure you bring in your plants or at least cover them tonight! Bundle ...

Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum's Weather Blog

Search This Blog