Skip to main content

More Scattered Storms Expected On This Monday

Short Term Forecast:  We have a partly to mostly cloudy start to this Monday with a few coastal showers.  It is warm and muggy with temperatures in the 70s.


You can expect another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.  Once again, not all of you will get the rain.  This is coming from what is left of the tropical wave that moved across the Gulf this weekend and an upper-level low that stayed north of Louisiana.  It will be a very warm and humid day with highs in the upper 80s.

Some showers will continue into the evening and then will end overnight with some lingering clouds.  Lows will be in the lower 70s.

Week Ahead:  Both the wave and low will move away from Louisiana on Tuesday.  This will allow us to return to a more typical Summer day with partly cloudy skies and isolated to scattered afternoon showers and storms popping up on Tuesday through Thursday.  It will be hotter with highs in the lower 90s and lows in the mid 70s each day.

On Friday, an easterly wave (tropical wave) will be in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico and it will stall there.  At the same time, a disturbance will dive down from the north and it is forecast to send a back-door cold front, or a cold front that comes in from the east, toward Louisiana.  This will all lead to a day with scattered showers and storms popping up.  We will still be hot with highs in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s on Friday Night with a few showers.

Weekend Outlook:  The back-door cold front will likely stall before it gets to Louisiana, but it could still send some slightly drier air our way.  This will lead to a pretty nice weekend!  We will be partly cloudy with only a few showers possible on Saturday and Sunday.  It is going to be hot with highs in the lower 90s.  Each night will be not quiet as muggy, as long as the front moves into Baton Rouge, with lows in the lower 70s.

Tropical Outlook:  Tropical Storm Chantal formed overnight from the tropical wave out in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean.  It is moving very fast to the west at 26 mph with 40 mph winds and the pressure this morning was at 1007 mb.  Chantal is forecast to move over the Lesser Antilles and then turn toward the Island of Hispaniola and then toward the Bahamas.  It is not a threat to the Gulf of Mexico at this time, but I will watch it closely.  Then the storm is forecast to weaken off the coast of Florida by the weekend.  Please read my weather blog post about Chantal for more details!


Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet and tropical cyclone formation is not expected through Tuesday.

Keep that umbrella with you and have a nice Monday! -Dave

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Comparison between Hurricane Matthew's possible forecast track loop vs Hurricane Betsy's

Some of you have been calling to say that Matthew's forecast to do a loop in the Atlantic Ocean off the SE U.S. is the same as what Hurricane Betsy did back in 1965. Well...that is not true. Betsy formed on August 27, 1965 just off the Leeward Islands. It quickly became a tropical storm on the same day, and then became a hurricane on August 29.  It made a few loops in its track with one north of Puerto Rico and a second north of the Bahamas.  There is a strong area of high pressure that was preventing Betsy from moving to the north, and that is what caused it to loop.  After the second loop, it then moved SW across the Bahamas, then turned west to move over far South Florida and then into the Gulf.  It eventually turned to the NW and quickly tracked right to New Orleans where it made landfall as a major hurricane on September 9th. Hurricane Matthew formed in the Atlantic east of the Leeward Islands as a tropical storm on September 28. It quickly moved west into t...

The Great Flood of 1983

It was 30 years ago that the Baton Rouge area experienced what is likely the worst flood in its history!  On April 5-9, 1983 we were hit with 6 to 13 inches of rain from a slow-moving storm.  This rain quickly ran off into the Amite, Comite, Tickfaw and Tangipahoa River Basins.  Some of the highest rainfall totals were in the headwaters of the Amite River in the Felicianas and South Mississippi.  Also, there were some strong easterly winds which slowed down the water from draining into Lake Maurepas and Pontchartrain.  These were some of the reasons why the flooding occurred in Baton Rouge & Denham Springs.  The weather map to the right shows the weather for April 8, 1983. A stalled front over the Southeast U.S. lead to the heavy rain event and flooding. The rivers quickly rose and spilled out of their banks.  The rain didn't stop, so the water continued to rise and rise.  Rivers rose to what are still the record levels.  The Amite in D...

The Unseasonably Cool Weather Continues

Short Term Forecast :  It is a very cold morning across the Capital City with clear skies and temperatures in the 30s.  A light freeze is expected!  I hope that you brought in your plants last night.  Take that jacket with you this morning. An area of high pressure remains over the Southeast U.S. today.  This will keep us sunny and with the northwest winds over us, we will stay cool.  High temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Another freeze is expected tonight for the Baton Rouge area.  We will be clear with calm winds and very good radiational cooling.  Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s.  The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor from 2 AM to 8 AM Wednesday Morning.  The freeze could last 2 to 6+ hours and that would be long enough to kill any vegetation.  Make sure you bring in your plants or at least cover them tonight!  Bundle ...