Skip to main content

More Heat With Spotty Storms Today

Short Term Forecast:  Once again it is a very warm and muggy morning with mostly cloudy skies across the Capital City.  A few showers are possible as some rain is moving toward Baton Rouge from the north.  A lot of the rain is dissipating as it heads toward us.  Temperatures are in the mid to upper 70s.


We will have another scorcher this afternoon as an area of high pressure sits over the Central Gulf of Mexico and another area of high pressure sits over the Rocky Mountain States.  This is bringing in northwest winds aloft and that limits the amount of storms that will pop-up in the afternoon hours.  However, it also means that any storms that develop over the Great Plains states will dive to the southeast toward Louisiana.  I am watching a few thunderstorms complexes over the Plains States, and the forecast models are hinting that they could survive all the way to Baton Rouge.  If this happens we will see some storms by this evening.  Otherwise, it will be partly cloudy, hot and very humid with highs in the mid 90s.  The heat index will be 105° or greater today!  Be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks if you will be outside!!

Some storms are possible this evening with partly to mostly cloudy skies.  Then we will have partly cloudy skies overnight with lows in the mid 70s.

Rest of the Week:  Thursday and Friday will continue to be hot and humid with isolated t'storms possible each day.  Highs will be in the mid 90s with the heat index 105° or greater.  Lows will be in the mid 70s each night with some lingering clouds.


Weekend Outlook:  A cold front will be sagging south toward I-10 this weekend.  It will likely stall and fall apart before it ever gets to Baton Rouge.  However, it will be close enough to help set off isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday.  High temperatures will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s each day and night.

Tropical Outlook:  Invest 98L has become Tropical Depression #4 this morning.  It is still located WAY out in the Atlantic, or about 310 miles WSW of the Cape Verde Islands.  Winds are sustained at 35 mph, and it could strengthen into a tropical storm later today.  It would get the name Dorian.  The forecast track takes TD 4 across the open Atlantic where it will encounter some wind shear and drier air in a few days.  This system is not expected to be more than a minimal tropical storm.


Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet and tropical cyclone formation is not expected anywhere else through Thursday.

Stay cool again and have a nice day! -Dave

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Comparison between Hurricane Matthew's possible forecast track loop vs Hurricane Betsy's

Some of you have been calling to say that Matthew's forecast to do a loop in the Atlantic Ocean off the SE U.S. is the same as what Hurricane Betsy did back in 1965. Well...that is not true. Betsy formed on August 27, 1965 just off the Leeward Islands. It quickly became a tropical storm on the same day, and then became a hurricane on August 29.  It made a few loops in its track with one north of Puerto Rico and a second north of the Bahamas.  There is a strong area of high pressure that was preventing Betsy from moving to the north, and that is what caused it to loop.  After the second loop, it then moved SW across the Bahamas, then turned west to move over far South Florida and then into the Gulf.  It eventually turned to the NW and quickly tracked right to New Orleans where it made landfall as a major hurricane on September 9th. Hurricane Matthew formed in the Atlantic east of the Leeward Islands as a tropical storm on September 28. It quickly moved west into t...

The Great Flood of 1983

It was 30 years ago that the Baton Rouge area experienced what is likely the worst flood in its history!  On April 5-9, 1983 we were hit with 6 to 13 inches of rain from a slow-moving storm.  This rain quickly ran off into the Amite, Comite, Tickfaw and Tangipahoa River Basins.  Some of the highest rainfall totals were in the headwaters of the Amite River in the Felicianas and South Mississippi.  Also, there were some strong easterly winds which slowed down the water from draining into Lake Maurepas and Pontchartrain.  These were some of the reasons why the flooding occurred in Baton Rouge & Denham Springs.  The weather map to the right shows the weather for April 8, 1983. A stalled front over the Southeast U.S. lead to the heavy rain event and flooding. The rivers quickly rose and spilled out of their banks.  The rain didn't stop, so the water continued to rise and rise.  Rivers rose to what are still the record levels.  The Amite in D...

Flash Flood Watch now until Thursday Evening for WBRZ Viewing Area

The NWS in Slidell, LA has issued a  Flash Flood Watch for all of the WBRZ Viewing Area starting now and continuing until Thursday Evening. Rain has been falling for the last few hours and we have already picked up over 1.30" in Baton Rouge.  This is WAY more than the forecast models were predicting for this time.  The area of low pressure continues to develop over South Texas and a warm front will move up from the Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday Morning.  This will spread widespread rain and a few thunderstorms over Southern Louisiana all night and into Wednesday.  Then it looks like we will taper off the rain to just scattered showers during the day on Wednesday. On Wednesday Night, a cold front will move out of Texas into Louisiana.  As this happens, a squall line of thunderstorms is expected to move ahead of it and through Baton Rouge on Thursday Morning.  Some of these storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds and a few tornadoes. ...