Skip to main content

More Heat With Some Pop-Up Afternoon Storms Today

Short Term Forecast:  It is a warm and muggy Monday morning across the Capital City.  We have some clouds here in town and there are some showers popping up already in South Mississippi.  Those showers are moving to the east and out of the viewing area.  Temperatures are in the mid 70s.


We will have another afternoon just like we did on Sunday...partly cloudy, hot and humid with pop-up showers and storms.  Some storms could have heavy rain and a lot of lightning.  High temperatures will be in the lower to mid 90s.  The heat index will be around 100 to 105.

The storms will continue through the evening and then dissipate by 10 PM.  Then we will be left with a few clouds and muggy temperatures in the mid 70s.

Week Ahead:  I'm watching a weak cold front that is moving toward the Southeast U.S. on Tuesday.  This will stall and fall apart over the Baton Rouge area by mid-week before a ridge of high pressure builds over us by the end of the week.  We will have partly cloudy skies on Tuesday with those isolated pop-up afternoon storms.  Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s Tuesday Night with a few clouds.


Wednesday and Thursday look to be the wettest days of this week, and we could get some decent rainfall too.  This is thanks to the stalled cold front that will sit over us both days.  On top of that, a few disturbances will also move across the Deep South.  Combine those factors with hot and humid weather and we get scattered to almost numerous showers and thunderstorms each day.  Some storms could be strong with gusty winds, heavy rain and a lot of lightning.  High temperatures will be in the lower 90s.  Each night will have partly to mostly cloudy skies with some lingering showers.  Lows will be in the lower 70s.

The front will dissipate by Friday, and some drier air aloft will move in.  This will limit the amount of storms we will see, but we will still have to dodge a few afternoon pop-up storms.  It will be a little hotter with highs in the lower to mid 90s and lows in the mid 70s Friday Night.

Weekend Outlook:  Saturday will be hot and humid as the ridge of high pressure and that dry air sits over us.  We will have to dodge a few afternoon storms with partly cloudy skies.  Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the mid 70s Saturday Night.

Looks like the ridge will slide to the east on Sunday and that will allow for some more moisture to return.  This will increase the chance of some afternoon storms.  Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s.

Tropical Outlook:  I'm watching a tropical wave in the NW Caribbean Sea.  It is a little more organized, but does not show a sign of surface circulation.  It is moving to the west and will move inland over Honduras, Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula the next few days.  NHC is giving it a medium chance, 30%, of development.

Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet, and tropical cyclone formation is not expected through Tuesday.

Stay cool and have a great Monday! -Dave

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

The Unseasonably Cool Weather Continues

Short Term Forecast :  It is a very cold morning across the Capital City with clear skies and temperatures in the 30s.  A light freeze is expected!  I hope that you brought in your plants last night.  Take that jacket with you this morning. An area of high pressure remains over the Southeast U.S. today.  This will keep us sunny and with the northwest winds over us, we will stay cool.  High temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Another freeze is expected tonight for the Baton Rouge area.  We will be clear with calm winds and very good radiational cooling.  Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s.  The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor from 2 AM to 8 AM Wednesday Morning.  The freeze could last 2 to 6+ hours and that would be long enough to kill any vegetation.  Make sure you bring in your plants or at least cover them tonight!  Bundle ...

Flash Flood Watch now until Thursday Evening for WBRZ Viewing Area

The NWS in Slidell, LA has issued a  Flash Flood Watch for all of the WBRZ Viewing Area starting now and continuing until Thursday Evening. Rain has been falling for the last few hours and we have already picked up over 1.30" in Baton Rouge.  This is WAY more than the forecast models were predicting for this time.  The area of low pressure continues to develop over South Texas and a warm front will move up from the Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday Morning.  This will spread widespread rain and a few thunderstorms over Southern Louisiana all night and into Wednesday.  Then it looks like we will taper off the rain to just scattered showers during the day on Wednesday. On Wednesday Night, a cold front will move out of Texas into Louisiana.  As this happens, a squall line of thunderstorms is expected to move ahead of it and through Baton Rouge on Thursday Morning.  Some of these storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds and a few tornadoes. ...

Major Snowstorm Headed To Northeast US Tomorrow

For all of my friends and family that live in the Northeast US...here is my latest analysis of the winter storm heading your way on Friday into Saturday: The same area of low pressure that brought the heavy rain and thunderstorms to Louisiana last night and this morning will be moving up the East Coast on Friday.  It will get much stronger and become a  Nor' Easter that will impact all the major cities from Philly to NYC to Boston as well as inland areas. Delmarva to NJ Coastal Areas :  Winter Storm Warning in effect from Friday AM until Saturday AM!  It looks like it will start out as a brief period of snow along the coast in the morning then change into a windy rain during the day.  Then go to a heavy snow late Friday into Saturday Morning.  Snow accumulations of 4-8" are possible.  Some minor ice accumulations are possible too. Winds will be sustained around 30+ mph and coastal erosion will be possible too. NE PA : Winter Storm Warning from 10...