Hotter With A Few Storms Today

Short Term Forecast: We have some mostly clear to partly cloudy skies across the Baton Rouge area this morning. It is warm and humid with temperatures in the 70s.

An upper-level ridge of high pressure will be building over us today and that will limit the coverage and amount of thunderstorms we will have. You can expect partly cloudy skies with only a few showers and thunderstorms. It will be hotter with highs in the lower 90s.

Any storms will dissipate tonight and we will have some clouds sticking around tonight. It will be warm and humid with lows in the mid 70s.

Week Ahead: The ridge will be slowly moving to the west on Wednesday and Thursday. This will keep us hot and humid with isolated showers and storms each day. Some of you will not see any rain. Highs will be in the lower to mid 90s. Each night will have a few clouds with lows in the mid 70s.

We will be on the eastern edge of the ridge on Friday. This will allow us to have extra moisture moving up from the Gulf in the lower-levels of the atmosphere. That is going to cause us to have a better chance of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. It will stay hot with highs in the mid 90s. Friday Night will be partly cloudy with lows in the mid 70s.

Weekend Outlook: As the ridge continues to move to the west, a trough of low pressure will send a cold front toward I-10. When you combine that with daytime heating and plenty of Gulf Moisture, that will lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday. It will still be hot with highs in the lower to mid 90s and lows in the mid 70s.

Tropical Outlook: All areas of the tropics are quiet, and they will stay that way through Wednesday.

Stay cool and have a great day! -Dave

Comments

Comparison between Hurricane Matthew's possible forecast track loop vs Hurricane Betsy's

Some of you have been calling to say that Matthew's forecast to do a loop in the Atlantic Ocean off the SE U.S. is the same as what Hurricane Betsy did back in 1965. Well...that is not true. Betsy formed on August 27, 1965 just off the Leeward Islands. It quickly became a tropical storm on the same day, and then became a hurricane on August 29. It made a few loops in its track with one north of Puerto Rico and a second north of the Bahamas. There is a strong area of high pressure that was preventing Betsy from moving to the north, and that is what caused it to loop. After the second loop, it then moved SW across the Bahamas, then turned west to move over far South Florida and then into the Gulf. It eventually turned to the NW and quickly tracked right to New Orleans where it made landfall as a major hurricane on September 9th. Hurricane Matthew formed in the Atlantic east of the Leeward Islands as a tropical storm on September 28. It quickly moved west into t...

The Unseasonably Cool Weather Continues

Short Term Forecast : It is a very cold morning across the Capital City with clear skies and temperatures in the 30s. A light freeze is expected! I hope that you brought in your plants last night. Take that jacket with you this morning. An area of high pressure remains over the Southeast U.S. today. This will keep us sunny and with the northwest winds over us, we will stay cool. High temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Another freeze is expected tonight for the Baton Rouge area. We will be clear with calm winds and very good radiational cooling. Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s. The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor from 2 AM to 8 AM Wednesday Morning. The freeze could last 2 to 6+ hours and that would be long enough to kill any vegetation. Make sure you bring in your plants or at least cover them tonight! Bundle ...

Flash Flood Watch now until Thursday Evening for WBRZ Viewing Area

The NWS in Slidell, LA has issued a Flash Flood Watch for all of the WBRZ Viewing Area starting now and continuing until Thursday Evening. Rain has been falling for the last few hours and we have already picked up over 1.30" in Baton Rouge. This is WAY more than the forecast models were predicting for this time. The area of low pressure continues to develop over South Texas and a warm front will move up from the Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday Morning. This will spread widespread rain and a few thunderstorms over Southern Louisiana all night and into Wednesday. Then it looks like we will taper off the rain to just scattered showers during the day on Wednesday. On Wednesday Night, a cold front will move out of Texas into Louisiana. As this happens, a squall line of thunderstorms is expected to move ahead of it and through Baton Rouge on Thursday Morning. Some of these storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds and a few tornadoes. ...

Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum's Weather Blog

Search This Blog