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Warm With Showers and Storms Popping Up Today

Short Term Forecast:  We have a very warm and breezy morning across the Baton Rouge area under mostly cloudy skies.  Temperatures are in the lower 70s and it is muggy.

We will transition from the nice weather yesterday to stormy weather today.  A strong cold front will be moving closer to Louisiana this afternoon.  Ahead of it we will be very warm, humid and breezy.  This will allow the atmosphere to become very unstable.  Isolated showers and thunderstorms will pop-up through the afternoon and into the evening.  Some of the storms could become strong to possibly severe.  SPC has a Slight Risk for severe weather over Baton Rouge today, but it is mainly in effect for tonight.  The storms this afternoon could produce damaging winds and large hail.  High temperatures will be in the lower 80s.

Showers and thunderstorms will become more numerous overnight as a squall line moves closer to town.  This line will be ahead and along the cold front.  These storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes.  We will be warm, muggy and breezy with lows in the mid 60s.

Rest of the Week:  The latest forecast models show the squall line/cold front moving into the city around 7 AM and moving east of town by 1 PM.  This means we will have a stormy commute.  The storms are still expected to be strong to severe with large hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes.  Once the front clears the city the severe weather threat will end.  Some showers will linger into the afternoon before they end by Thursday Evening.  On top of the theat for strong to severe storms, we will have some very heavy rain!  Rain totals will be around 2 to 4 inches.  Some minor flooding will be possible.  Then we will become partly cloudy and cooler.  High temperatures will be in the lower 70s.  Thursday Night will be partly cloudy and colder with lows in the upper 40s.

An area of high pressure builds over the Deep South on Friday.  This will make it sunny and still warm with highs in the mid 70s.  Friday Night will be clear and cool with lows near 50.

Weekend Forecast:  Saturday will be another beautiful sunny day, and it will be warmer.  Highs will be in the upper 70s.  Saturday Night is forecast to be clear and not as cool with lows in the mid 50s.

The weather will start to change again on Sunday.  Another system/disturbance moves into Louisiana from the west.  This will send some isolated showers over town with partly cloudy skies. Highs will be around 80 and lows in the mid 60s.

Take your umbrella today and get ready for some stormy weather tonight. Have a nice day! -Dave

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