Get Ready For A Wet Easter Weekend

Short Term Forecast: We have one more pretty chilly morning here in Baton Rouge. It is mostly clear with temperatures in the 40s. Better take that coat again this morning, but you will not need it later.

The area of high pressure is well off to the east of Louisiana, and that means we will have plenty of southerly winds today. This will pump in the warm air and moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. We will become partly cloudy with highs in the mid 70s this afternoon.

The clouds will stick around tonight and we could have some patchy fog forming. Temperatures will be mild as they only fall to the mid 50s.

Easter Weekend: It still looks like we will have some rain and thunderstorms for this weekend. Saturday will be nice for much of the day with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Isolated showers will develop during the afternoon/evening hours, but not everyone will see the rain. It will stay warm and become more humid with highs in the upper 70s. Saturday Night will be mostly cloudy with patchy fog. Low temperatures will be in the lower 60s.

Easter Sunday will start out with mostly cloudy skies and patchy fog for the Sunrise Services. The clouds will stick around all day, but scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop as the tail-end of a cold front moves into Baton Rouge. Highs will be in the upper 70s. Sunday Night will be mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms. Lows will fall to the lower 60s.

Next Week Outlook: The latest forecast models are showing a very unsettled weather pattern for next week. This includes plenty of rain all week. The cold front will draw down some much colder air next week, and that will lead to the rain sticking around on Monday through Thursday. The models are also
showing an area of low pressure forming in the Western Gulf and that will aid in more rain on Thursday.

Temperatures will be warm on Monday with highs around 80, but the cold surge arrives by Tuesday with highs only in the 60s through Thursday. Low temperatures will be in the upper 40s to lower 50s each night.
Some dry weather arrives on Friday as the Gulf Low moves east of Louisiana. We will become partly cloudy and it will be a little warmer with the 70s returning.

I hope that you have a happy and blessed Easter! -Dave

Comments

Comparison between Hurricane Matthew's possible forecast track loop vs Hurricane Betsy's

Some of you have been calling to say that Matthew's forecast to do a loop in the Atlantic Ocean off the SE U.S. is the same as what Hurricane Betsy did back in 1965. Well...that is not true. Betsy formed on August 27, 1965 just off the Leeward Islands. It quickly became a tropical storm on the same day, and then became a hurricane on August 29. It made a few loops in its track with one north of Puerto Rico and a second north of the Bahamas. There is a strong area of high pressure that was preventing Betsy from moving to the north, and that is what caused it to loop. After the second loop, it then moved SW across the Bahamas, then turned west to move over far South Florida and then into the Gulf. It eventually turned to the NW and quickly tracked right to New Orleans where it made landfall as a major hurricane on September 9th. Hurricane Matthew formed in the Atlantic east of the Leeward Islands as a tropical storm on September 28. It quickly moved west into t...

The Unseasonably Cool Weather Continues

Short Term Forecast : It is a very cold morning across the Capital City with clear skies and temperatures in the 30s. A light freeze is expected! I hope that you brought in your plants last night. Take that jacket with you this morning. An area of high pressure remains over the Southeast U.S. today. This will keep us sunny and with the northwest winds over us, we will stay cool. High temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Another freeze is expected tonight for the Baton Rouge area. We will be clear with calm winds and very good radiational cooling. Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s. The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor from 2 AM to 8 AM Wednesday Morning. The freeze could last 2 to 6+ hours and that would be long enough to kill any vegetation. Make sure you bring in your plants or at least cover them tonight! Bundle ...

Flash Flood Watch now until Thursday Evening for WBRZ Viewing Area

The NWS in Slidell, LA has issued a Flash Flood Watch for all of the WBRZ Viewing Area starting now and continuing until Thursday Evening. Rain has been falling for the last few hours and we have already picked up over 1.30" in Baton Rouge. This is WAY more than the forecast models were predicting for this time. The area of low pressure continues to develop over South Texas and a warm front will move up from the Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday Morning. This will spread widespread rain and a few thunderstorms over Southern Louisiana all night and into Wednesday. Then it looks like we will taper off the rain to just scattered showers during the day on Wednesday. On Wednesday Night, a cold front will move out of Texas into Louisiana. As this happens, a squall line of thunderstorms is expected to move ahead of it and through Baton Rouge on Thursday Morning. Some of these storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds and a few tornadoes. ...

Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum's Weather Blog

Search This Blog