A Warming Trend Begins Today

We will not be as cold today as the area of high pressure moves east of Louisiana. This will bring us NE to E winds and they will be lighter. It will be partly cloudy with highs in the mid 50s. I would still bring your heavy coat with you today, but you may not want the hat and gloves by this afternoon. Tonight will be partly cloudy and not as cold with lows in the 40s.

Wednesday will be much warmer as SE winds return with partly cloudy skies. Highs will be back in the mid 60s - just above what it should be this time of year. A cold front will move toward us on Wednesday Night with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Lows will be in the 50s.

The cold front will move through on Thursday, but I'm not expecting much rain with it. Look for only a stray shower as the front passes through by midday. We will be mild with highs in the mid 60s, but the temperatures will slowly fall in the afternoon into the 50s. Friday will only be a few degrees cooler behind the cold front with plenty of sunshine and highs in the lower 60s.

Christmas Weekend: Get ready for a big warm-up for Christmas Weekend! Saturday will be partly cloudy and mild with highs in the lower 70s.

Christmas Day will continue to be unseasonably mild with near record highs in the mid to upper 70s. We had a record high last Christmas of 82° in New Orleans, so we could make a run at that again this year! The forecast models keep trending toward warmer temperatures. If you are wanting a cool-down, it looks like a cold front is forecast to move through by the middle of next week with some cooler air behind it.

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Comparison between Hurricane Matthew's possible forecast track loop vs Hurricane Betsy's

Some of you have been calling to say that Matthew's forecast to do a loop in the Atlantic Ocean off the SE U.S. is the same as what Hurricane Betsy did back in 1965. Well...that is not true. Betsy formed on August 27, 1965 just off the Leeward Islands. It quickly became a tropical storm on the same day, and then became a hurricane on August 29. It made a few loops in its track with one north of Puerto Rico and a second north of the Bahamas. There is a strong area of high pressure that was preventing Betsy from moving to the north, and that is what caused it to loop. After the second loop, it then moved SW across the Bahamas, then turned west to move over far South Florida and then into the Gulf. It eventually turned to the NW and quickly tracked right to New Orleans where it made landfall as a major hurricane on September 9th. Hurricane Matthew formed in the Atlantic east of the Leeward Islands as a tropical storm on September 28. It quickly moved west into t...

The Great Flood of 1983

It was 30 years ago that the Baton Rouge area experienced what is likely the worst flood in its history! On April 5-9, 1983 we were hit with 6 to 13 inches of rain from a slow-moving storm. This rain quickly ran off into the Amite, Comite, Tickfaw and Tangipahoa River Basins. Some of the highest rainfall totals were in the headwaters of the Amite River in the Felicianas and South Mississippi. Also, there were some strong easterly winds which slowed down the water from draining into Lake Maurepas and Pontchartrain. These were some of the reasons why the flooding occurred in Baton Rouge & Denham Springs. The weather map to the right shows the weather for April 8, 1983. A stalled front over the Southeast U.S. lead to the heavy rain event and flooding. The rivers quickly rose and spilled out of their banks. The rain didn't stop, so the water continued to rise and rise. Rivers rose to what are still the record levels. The Amite in D...

The Unseasonably Cool Weather Continues

Short Term Forecast : It is a very cold morning across the Capital City with clear skies and temperatures in the 30s. A light freeze is expected! I hope that you brought in your plants last night. Take that jacket with you this morning. An area of high pressure remains over the Southeast U.S. today. This will keep us sunny and with the northwest winds over us, we will stay cool. High temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Another freeze is expected tonight for the Baton Rouge area. We will be clear with calm winds and very good radiational cooling. Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s. The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor from 2 AM to 8 AM Wednesday Morning. The freeze could last 2 to 6+ hours and that would be long enough to kill any vegetation. Make sure you bring in your plants or at least cover them tonight! Bundle ...

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