Skip to main content

Severe Weather Outbreak Expected on this Christmas Day

...A Significant Severe Weather Outbreak is expected on this Christmas Day...

My analysis of the current weather around Baton Rouge shows that it is warm and becoming humid.  A warm front has moved north of Baton Rouge this morning and it will continue to push northward into Mississippi.   We have some very unstable conditions over us, and it will remain that way throughout the day.

This is the recipe for Round 1 of thunderstorms to pop-up, and they will likely become strong to severe.  The threats will be damaging winds and tornadoes, yes, tornadoes are possible today.  Some of them could be significant according to SPC.  That means they could be as strong as EF-2!  SPC has the Baton Rouge area and much of the WBRZ viewing area in a Moderate Risk for severe weather today!  There is also a threat for some of the storms to have large hail and continue heavy rain.

Then there will likely be a lull in the weather around midday.  It is likely that the sun will come out, but DO NOT let this fool you!  The threat for severe weather WILL NOT be over.

Round 2 of the severe weather will occur this afternoon and into the evening hours.  We will stay very warm and humid with low-level clouds zooming by from south to north.  This will make it pretty windy this afternoon as well.  A very strong cold front will move closer to Baton Rouge, and a squall line of thunderstorms will form ahead of it.  This line of storms will likely produce damaging winds in excess of 75 mph along with a few tornadoes.  It is forecast to move through the City of Baton Rouge around 2-4 PM and eventually out of the viewing area by 6 PM.  Some heavy rain will also be possible!

Once the squall line moves through the cold front will follow behind it.  It will be quite windy and then the temperatures will drop from the 70s to the 40s quickly behind the front.  Brrr!

There is a chance we could miss out on a lot of the severe weather, but it is very low at this time.

Be sure you are prepared for this possible severe weather situation!!  I know many of you are not thinking about the weather and only concerned about Christmas.  However, I urge you to stay tuned to WBRZ, WBRZ.com, WBRZ's Cable Weather Channel, my Facebook and Twitter feeds too for updates throughout the day.  Be sure to secure or bring in any Christmas decorations that could blow away or cause damage today.

Stay safe and informed!  Have a Merry Christmas!! -Dave

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Flash Flood Watch now until Thursday Evening for WBRZ Viewing Area

The NWS in Slidell, LA has issued a  Flash Flood Watch for all of the WBRZ Viewing Area starting now and continuing until Thursday Evening. Rain has been falling for the last few hours and we have already picked up over 1.30" in Baton Rouge.  This is WAY more than the forecast models were predicting for this time.  The area of low pressure continues to develop over South Texas and a warm front will move up from the Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday Morning.  This will spread widespread rain and a few thunderstorms over Southern Louisiana all night and into Wednesday.  Then it looks like we will taper off the rain to just scattered showers during the day on Wednesday. On Wednesday Night, a cold front will move out of Texas into Louisiana.  As this happens, a squall line of thunderstorms is expected to move ahead of it and through Baton Rouge on Thursday Morning.  Some of these storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds and a few tornadoes. ...

The Great Flood of 1983

It was 30 years ago that the Baton Rouge area experienced what is likely the worst flood in its history!  On April 5-9, 1983 we were hit with 6 to 13 inches of rain from a slow-moving storm.  This rain quickly ran off into the Amite, Comite, Tickfaw and Tangipahoa River Basins.  Some of the highest rainfall totals were in the headwaters of the Amite River in the Felicianas and South Mississippi.  Also, there were some strong easterly winds which slowed down the water from draining into Lake Maurepas and Pontchartrain.  These were some of the reasons why the flooding occurred in Baton Rouge & Denham Springs.  The weather map to the right shows the weather for April 8, 1983. A stalled front over the Southeast U.S. lead to the heavy rain event and flooding. The rivers quickly rose and spilled out of their banks.  The rain didn't stop, so the water continued to rise and rise.  Rivers rose to what are still the record levels.  The Amite in D...

The Unseasonably Cool Weather Continues

Short Term Forecast :  It is a very cold morning across the Capital City with clear skies and temperatures in the 30s.  A light freeze is expected!  I hope that you brought in your plants last night.  Take that jacket with you this morning. An area of high pressure remains over the Southeast U.S. today.  This will keep us sunny and with the northwest winds over us, we will stay cool.  High temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Another freeze is expected tonight for the Baton Rouge area.  We will be clear with calm winds and very good radiational cooling.  Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s.  The NWS has issued a Freeze Warning for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor from 2 AM to 8 AM Wednesday Morning.  The freeze could last 2 to 6+ hours and that would be long enough to kill any vegetation.  Make sure you bring in your plants or at least cover them tonight!  Bundle ...